Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Each IPL team's chances of semi-final spot

5 Matches to go, still this year edition of IPL has not finalized its final four. Each team has only one match in their hand. Here is the analysis of the chances of each team making it to semis.

So far,as many knows, only Delhi Daredevils has cemented their place in semis. Also Mumbai Indians and Kolkata knight riders are way out of the competition.

This left with 5 teams, who are having equal chances of getting into the remaining 3 spots of the Semis. I will give in breif about each teams chances here,

TeamSemi's ChanceAgainst Whom
DDInRCB,MI
CSK1 WinKXIP
DC1 WinRCB
KXIP1 WinCSK
RR1 WinKKR
RCB2 WinsDD,DC
MIOUTDD
KKROUTRR

CASE by CASE analysis

1) The chance that RR will enter depends on KXIP's performance against CSK, For this first RR has to win against KKR, then they have to pray that CSK wins against KXIP. In this case
CSK moves to 17 points, RR moves to 15 points and KXIP remains at 14 points

2) The chance of CSK not qualifying in Semis is minimal; even if they lose against KXIP, the net run rate will not get affect drastically,which helps them peep ahead of RR in the league table. If CSK lose it shuts the door for RR.

3) Between RCB and DC only one team will qualify these two itself has to play between each other. There is a chance that both will not qualify, the case is, if RCB lose to DD and win against DC.

My prediction of who wins the IPL still hold good, except for the league table points :)

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